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Commentary: Inflation rears its ugly head again amid Iran war – how bad could it get?

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WHAT IT MEANS FOR CONSUMERS​


Even so, households are likely to be particularly sensitive to any increase in prices.

While inflation measures the rate of change in prices, it is the price level that shapes lived experience. Once prices rise, they tend to remain elevated, with energy prices being a notable exception.

Official inflation figures also reflect a broad basket of goods and services, including items such as electronics and furniture that are purchased infrequently. By contrast, the everyday essentials that dominate household budgets – food, transport and utilities – are rising faster than overall inflation, shaping a sense that costs are climbing more rapidly than headline numbers suggest.

The Singapore government has since responded by committing an additional S$1 billion (US$777 million) to cushion households and businesses from higher energy prices. With public finances in a healthy position, there remains scope for further assistance if conditions worsen.

The MAS tightened monetary policy this week, its first such move since October 2022. Doing so allows the Singapore dollar to appreciate to help dampen imported inflation, and the central bank has scope to tighten further if needed.

Looking ahead, the key message is one of vigilance, rather than panic. For households and businesses, the challenge will be to remain adaptable by managing costs carefully and avoiding overreaction to short term price spikes.

Khoon Goh is the head of Asia research at ANZ.

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